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Trump Taiwan Arms Deal in Question After Xi Talks Spark Foreign Policy Uncertainty

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Trump Taiwan Arms Deal
Courtesy of Matt Johnson (Flickr CC0)

Trump Taiwan Arms Deal in Question

President of the United States Donald Trump has once again attracted media attention due to his inconsistent stance towards any potential sale of arms to Taiwan, which was allegedly discussed with Chinese President Xi Jinping, according to sources.

The development comes amid concerns among policymakers and experts on foreign policy issues, who note that even the smallest change in diplomatic discourse with regards to Taiwan can cause geopolitical repercussions amid tensions between the two nations.

The underlying issue here is that the United States has been protecting Taiwan under a defense agreement, although China considers Taiwan as a part of its territory while Taiwan maintains its separate administration and armed forces.

A Fine Balance between Beijing and Taipei

Historically, the approach of the United States towards Taiwan has been that of ambiguity, where it backed Taiwan’s armed forces without recognizing it as an independent entity.

According to experts of diplomacy, after the dialogue, the claims made by Trump regarding new weapon supplies did not have the same firmness as the previous claims made by former administrations irrespective of their ideological affiliation.

The importance of the issue is linked to the talks between Trump and Xi, which revolved around issues of cooperation economically and militarily.

While there may not be any policy shift, a shift in rhetoric alone can result in serious implications at an international level.

Observe how Alliances React to Indications

It has been stated that the allies of the U.S., especially those who have already formed any sort of security alliance with the U.S., are keeping a watchful eye on the progress of the matter.

As a matter of fact, Taiwan relies heavily on acquiring weaponry from the U.S. in order to prepare itself to defend itself from the attacks.

According to the professionals involved in the military defense field, it should be noted that this acquisition is not just about weapons, it is more than that.

Hence, it is quite possible that any form of indecisiveness on behalf of the U.S. may encourage China to cause further complications for Taiwan.

Beijing Keeps Its Stance Firm

The stance adopted by China on this matter is that the issue of Taiwan is important for its nation and it has never approved any other country supplying weapons to Taiwan.

Chinese governments have time and again issued threats to other countries about not getting involved with Taiwan in any manner, especially militarily and security wise.

After their discussions diplomatically, the Chinese government always highlights the importance of “strategic stability,” despite both of them having their own interpretations of this term.

Response of Washington to the Issue

In Washington, however, the uncertainty expressed by Trump has become an issue for political debate.

The supporters of the president say that the flexible foreign policy will allow negotiating and settling the situation since it involves one of the most sensitive relations in the world.

Opponents to the president argue that the ambiguity regarding the arming of Taiwan can undermine long-established deterrence strategies and fuel Chinese ambitions in the region.

Undoubtedly, the issue will once again become relevant in congressional debates and elections since the foreign policy is always relevant in domestic politics.

The Taiwan Problem and its Importance for Sino-U.S. Diplomacy

The problem of Taiwan remains one of the most explosive areas of Sino-U.S. relations, where political, military, economic, and technological factors interweave.

Any shifts concerning the U.S. stance on this question are keenly observed by observers not only in China and Taiwan itself, but throughout the world.

In light of continuing analysis of Trump’s stand after the meeting, the question is whether it represents tactics or substance.

The Uncertainty at the Center of the Story

As things stand right now, no formal alteration in policy has yet taken place, nor is there any indication of any decision made regarding weapons shipment.

Nevertheless, because of the high-level diplomats involved, talk of military assistance, and global interest in the matter, slight changes in attitude could quickly snowball into an international headline.

As one commentator put it, “For America and China, ambiguity never sends a neutral signal.”

By David Loran Jr

A successful Editor-in-Chief, journalist for over 6 years, writing about important topics that are going on within the U.S. and beyond.

Sources:

Axios: Trump waffles on Taiwan arms deal after Xi talks

CNN News: US-China summit: Trump says he discussed arms sales to Taiwan with Xi

Featured Image Courtesy of Matt Johnson‘s Flickr Page – Creative Commons License

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